A surprising payroll report The quick war – not over just yet Food inflation coming Economics – a bright spot and surprising report last week Space issues – Space sewage PLUS we are now on Spotify and Amazon Music/Podcasts! See this week’s stock picks HERE Follow John C. Dvorak on Twitter Follow Andrew Horowitz on […]
Markets are sending mixed signals with geopolitics, inflation, and positioning all pointing in different directions, raising concerns about whether this rally is real or just a temporary squeeze before the next leg down. This week, we break down how the proposed ceasefire and AI acceleration are colliding with market structure in a battle of fundamentals vs flows. We explore AI-led productivity boom, Trump's political dilemma, Fed policy uncertainty, gold’s resurgence, and whether dispersion, not direction, is the real trade. Enjoy! TIMESTAMPS: 00:00 Intro 04:21 Ceasefire Reality Check 07:28 Positioning Fuels the Bounce 11:25 Can VIX Stay Low? 14:28 Countertrend Rally or Not? 19:09 AI Compute Still Leads 28:11 Ads (Arkham, Blockworks IR) 30:06 Fed Cuts or Wishful Thinking? 34:05 China The New Bond Haven? 38:13 Best Trades in This Regime 44:14 Gold and Market Manipulation 49:50 Buy Non-US Again? FOLLOW THE SHOW › Forward Guidance – https://x.com/ForwardGuidance › Felix – https://x.com/fejau_inc › Quinn – https://x.com/qthomp › Tyler – https://x.com/Tyler_Neville › Telegram – https://t.me/+CAoZQpC-i6BjYTEx › Blockworks – https://x.com/Blockworks RESOURCES › Weekly Roundup Charts – https://drive.google.com/file/d/18AkSBzt_7Y_B8HX6BdbUyJ-kr7Q6Sqsq/view?usp=sharing SPONSORS › ARKHAM Arkham is a crypto exchange and blockchain analytics platform that allows traders and investors to look inside the wallets of the best traders, largest funds, and most influential players in crypto — and act on that information. Sign up to Arkham: https://auth.arkm.com/register?ref=blockworks Eligibility varies by jurisdiction. Users residing in certain jurisdictions will be excluded from onboarding. DISCLAIMER Nothing said on Forward Guidance is a recommendation to buy or sell securities or tokens. This podcast is for informational purposes only. Any views expressed are opinions, not financial advice. Hosts and guests may hold positions in the companies, funds, or projects discussed.
My guest today is Alan Waxman, co-founder and CEO of Sixth Street, a $130B global investment firm. Private credit is one of the most discussed topics in markets right now, and there is a lot to make sense of. The current discourse is almost entirely focused on symptoms. Alan Waxman has spent the time diagnosing the root cause. Alan thinks about the financial system the way a historian would, studying the incentives, guardrails, and market structure that determine how things play out. In this conversation, he traces the evolution of American finance from the 1929 crash through Glass-Steagall, the GFC, and Basel III to explain how we arrived at what he calls the factory model, the industrialization of liability-gathering and asset deployment that he believes is the root cause of everything happening in private markets today. This is my second conversation with Alan, our first one is one of my favorites from last year. For the full show notes, transcript, and links to mentioned content, check out the episode page here. ----- This episode is brought to you by Ramp. Ramp’s mission is to help companies manage their spend in a way that reduces expenses and frees up time for teams to work on more valuable projects. Go to ramp.com/invest to sign up for free and get a $250 welcome bonus. ----- This episode is brought to you by Vanta. Trusted by thousands of businesses, Vanta continuously monitors your security posture and streamlines audits so you can win enterprise deals and build customer trust without the traditional overhead. Visit vanta.com/invest. ----- This episode is brought to you by WorkOS. WorkOS is a developer platform that enables SaaS companies to quickly add enterprise features to their applications. Visit WorkOS.com to transform your application into an enterprise-ready solution in minutes, not months. ----- Rogo is the AI platform for finance. They're building agents for Wall Street that are trained to understand how bankers and investors actually do work: from diligence and modeling, to turning analysis into deliverables. To learn more, visit rogo.ai/invest. ----- This episode is brought to you by Ridgeline. Ridgeline has built a complete, real-time, modern operating system for investment managers. It handles trading, portfolio management, compliance, customer reporting, and much more through an all-in-one real-time cloud platform. Visit ridgelineapps.com. ----- Editing and post-production work for this episode was provided by The Podcast Consultant (https://thepodcastconsultant.com). Timestamps (00:00:00) Welcome to Invest Like The Best (00:02:43) Intro: Alan Waxman (00:04:35) Financial System Guardrails & Incentives (00:05:56) System 1: Pre-1933 to 1999 (00:07:39) Glass-Steagall Legislation (00:10:46) Deregulation & Rise of System 2 (00:12:27) Leverage, GFC, and System 2's Collapse (00:14:25) Basel III, Dodd-Frank, and System 3 (00:15:32) Why System 3 Could Be the Best Ever (00:19:04) Behavioral Shifts Starting in 2018 (00:19:52) The Factory Model (00:24:33) Acceleration of Factory Model (00:28:25) FRE Multiples and GP Incentives (00:34:59) Wealth Channel & Asset-Liability Mismatches (00:36:15) Why This Won’t be the Next GFC (00:45:31) AI, Creative Destruction & Opportunity (00:49:35) Alan’s One-Sheet Brain System (00:55:01) Lessons
The first quarter of 2026 is in the rearview mirror and earnings season begins next week. We discuss what we’re looking for along with the latest in the world of artificial intelligence at the biggest companies in the world. Travis Hoium, Lou Whiteman, and Jon Quast discuss: - Earnings season expectations - AI’s most dangerous moment - Is Meta back in AI? - Home run CEOs - Stocks on our radar Companies discussed: Alphabet (GOOG, GOOGL), Amazon (AMZN), Meta Platforms (META), Crocs (CROX), Target (TGT), Snap (SNAP), Apple (AAPL), Nike (NKE), Disney (DIS). Host: Travis Hoium Guests: Lou Whiteman, Jon Quast Engineer: Dan Boyd Disclosure: Advertisements are sponsored content and provided for informational purposes only. The Motley Fool and its affiliates (collectively, “TMF”) do not endorse, recommend, or verify the accuracy or completeness of the statements made within advertisements. TMF is not involved in the offer, sale, or solicitation of any securities advertised herein and makes no representations regarding the suitability, or risks associated with any investment opportunity presented. Investors should conduct their own due diligence and consult with legal, tax, and financial advisors before making any investment decisions. TMF assumes no responsibility for any losses or damages arising from this advertisement. We’re committed to transparency: All personal opinions in advertisements from Fools are their own. The product advertised in this episode was loaned to TMF and was returned after a test period or the product advertised in this episode was purchased by TMF. Advertiser has paid for the sponsorship of this episode. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Roundup of the Week's Top Stories in Economics and Freedom 72 Scam Hospices in a Single BuildingMonetary Inflation Takes OffBirthright Citizenship Hits Supreme CourtGig Work Replaces 1 in 3 jobs in ChinaTrue Federal Debt Hits $48 TrillionRead the article "Federal Debt Hits $48 Trillion" at https://www.profstonge.com/ Visit our Sponsor: Monetary MetalsEarn 5% to 12% interest on your physical gold and silver, paid in physical gold and silver.Visit our Sponsor: CoinKiteProtect your Bitcoin with ...
There's a number that determines whether you'll ever be financially free. Not your net worth. Not your 401(k) balance. Not your credit score. A different number. One the financial industry has never shown you — because once you see it, you stop needing them. In this episode, Robert Kiyosaki reveals the 50-year trap built into the retirement system, why every pillar of that system is cracking, and the one calculation that changes everything.
Can you quickly decide which AI companies deserve your attention—and which to skip? What do you believe that most people don’t? And is there a simple trick, learnable in one afternoon, that can delight kids (and maybe yourself) for a lifetime? This week, David returns with Volume 11 of one of our OG episodic series: Mental Tips, Tricks & Lifehacks. He shares seven small ideas that punch above their weight: from a clever $10 household fix, to a mindset shift borrowed from Kevin Kelly, to dialing down big ambitions into “little bets” that actually get done. Oh, and some recent boardgame picks! Host: David GardnerProducer: Bart Shannon Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Send us Fan Mail “Give yourself a break and don’t be in such a rush.”-Jonathan Aberman Exclusive Insights from This Week's Episodes AI may be making your team faster while quietly making your business more replaceable. Jonathan Aberman reveals why originality, team fit, and role design now matter more than ever if you want profits, leverage, and a future buyer advantage. EPISODE HIGHLIGHTS 00:07 Great businesses do not get sold. They get bought. 00:14 The graph that showed AI creates sameness...
Sitting on hands – maybe a good idea right now. Confidence vs. courage in your investment process. A look at Q1 markets and economics. Thomas Thornton, Hedge Fund Telemetry is this week’s guest. NEW! DOWNLOAD THE AI GENERATED SHOW NOTES (Guest Segment) Thomas Thornton is a former portfolio manager, senior trader, and technical analyst with Level Global Investors and Galileo Capital. Tom has written a daily market note for a select group of hedge fund managers for years and now has offered it for all investors with Hedge Fund Telemetry. His long term focus on sentiment indicators borders on the obsessive. Our growing team at Hedge Fund Telemetry is comprised of current and former buy and sell side individuals. Hedge Fund Telemetry was first conceived with inspiration from Tom’s lifelong passion following Formula 1 racing. In the early 90’s, Formula 1 teams started to equip cars with sensors on every imaginable component and data was relayed wirelessly through telemetry to the pits to analyze and then instructions from the pits were relayed back to the driver so he could make changes to find the optimal balance for the car. It has always been the same way for Tom, as a senior trader at his hedge fund, he would get in early, collect data from many sources, analyze that data, and then communicate information out to his firm so his team could properly balance the firm’s portfolio. It’s now our goal to relay that same type of information so that one can also gain that edge. Follow @TommyThornton Check this out and find out more at: http://www.interactivebrokers.com/ Follow @andrewhorowitz Looking for style diversification? More information on the TDI Managed Growth Strategy – HERE Stocks mentioned in this episode: (AAPL), (USO), (MSFT), (GLD), (SLV), (EWY)
00:00 Episode Overview02:00 Stocks Are Going Crazy07:36 Sam Altman Criticisms13:08 Fail Of The Week: Follow-up 16:20 Responding To Comments
❓ Have a money question? Ask Ramsey is here to help. 📈 Are you on track with the Baby Steps? Get a Free Personalized Plan. Dave Ramsey and Jade Warshaw answer your questions and discuss: “I have a million dollars in watches, should I sell them to buy a home?” “After 16 years I decided to get off of disability, what do I do now?” “All my friends are telling me I made a mistake paying off my home early, are they right?” “Should we be gazelle intense about paying off our home?” “Can we go to Europe before we build our emergency fund?” Next Steps: ✔️ Help us make the show better. Please take this short survey. 📞 Have a question for the show? Call 888-825-5225 weekdays from 2–5 p.m. ET or send us an email. 💵 Start your free budget today. Download the EveryDollar app! 💻 Need help with your taxes? See who we trust! 🛡️ Get trusted insurance coverage that fits your budget Connect With Our Sponsors: Get 10% off your first month of BetterHelp Go to Boost Mobile to switch today! If you want your car to keep going and going, trust Christian Brothers Automotive. Find a local shop and get an exclusive Ramsey discount of 10% (up to $250) off Learn more about Christian Healthcare Ministries Get started today with Churchill Mortgage Get 20% off when you join DeleteMe Go to FAIRWINDS Credit Union for an exclusive account bundle! Debt collectors hassling you? Take back control of your life at Guardian Litigation Group Find top health insurance plans at Health Trust Financial Use code RAMSEY to save 20% at Mama Bear Legal Forms Visit NetSuite today to learn more. Get started with YRefy or call 844-2-RAMSEY Visit Zander Insurance or call 1-800-356-4282 for your free instant quote today! Explore more from Ramsey Network: 💸 The Ramsey Show Highlights 🧠 The Dr. John Delony Show 🍸 Smart Money Happy Hour 💡 The Rachel Cruze Show 💰 George Kamel 🪑 Front Row Seat with Ken Coleman 📈 EntreLeadership Ramsey Solutions Privacy Policy Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Kyle Grieve is joined by co-host Daniel Mahncke to discuss Wise PLC, a London-listed FinTech company that enables cheap and fast cross-border payments by matching local flows rather than moving money internationally through costly SWIFT networks. IN THIS EPISODE YOU’LL LEARN: 00:00:00 - Intro 00:04:45 - The clever mechanism Wise uses to move money without actually crossing borders 00:09:14 - Why two Estonians at a London party ended up disrupting global banking 00:13:44 - How Wise earns revenue from four streams 00:21:44 - Which of Wise's three competitor industries is the most threatening and why 00:26:04 - How fast payments have become at Wise 00:42:12 - Why deliberately lowering your own prices can be a sign of business strength 01:08:12 - The flywheel that makes Wise harder to beat, the larger it grows 01:10:35 - What to make of the CEO controversy 01:23:51 - How Wise's capital allocation stacks up against Buffett's ultimate litmus test 01:30:26 - What the numbers suggest investors could earn holding Wise Disclaimer: Slight discrepancies in the timestamps may occur due to podcast platform differences. BOOKS AND RESOURCES Join the exclusive TIP Mastermind Community. Learn how to join us in Omaha for the Berkshire meeting here. Kyle and Daniel use Fiscal.ai for every company they research — use their referral link to get started with a 15% discount! Read about cross-border payments 101. Read more on Wise, featured in Wall Street’s Blind Spots. Listen to a conversation with Wise’s CEO, Kristo Käärmann. Follow Kyle on X and LinkedIn. Related books mentioned in the podcast. Ad-free episodes on our Premium Feed. NEW TO THE SHOW? Get smarter about valuing businesses through The Intrinsic Value Newsletter. Check out our We Study Billionaires Starter Packs. Follow our official social media accounts: X | LinkedIn | Facebook. Try our tool for picking stock winners and managing our portfolios: TIP Finance. Enjoy exclusive perks from our favorite Apps and Services. Learn how to better start, manage, and grow your business with the best business podcasts. SPONSORS Support our free podcast by supporting our sponsors: HardBlock Human Rights Foundation Plus500 Shopify Netsuite Vanta References to any third-party products, services, or advertisers do not constitute endorsements, and The Investor’s Podcast Network is not responsible for any claims made by them. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices Support our show by becoming a premium member! https://theinvestorspodcastnetwork.supportingcast.fm
